NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
St Bonaventure vs. Fordham
Fordham
+4 -105
  at  BOVADA
in 2h
In the mood to watch a bad Atlantic 10 Conference game? Didn't think so.  Chalk this one up to being one of those hold-your-nose taking the home underdog by playing the value card.  I just don't think St. Bonaventure is that much better than Fordham where the Bonnies should be laying this many points on the road. The Bonnies have won three in a row. They haven't won four straight all season. They are a sub .500 team.  Fordham is 11-15 and 2-11 in the Atlantic 10 and coming off a 72-69 loss to Richmond on Wednesday, in a game the Rams nearly pulled out. The Rams are competitive. Despite their poor conference record, they have just a minus-six scoring margin in league.  The Rams should be pumped for this matchup having lost to St. Bonaventure, 72-61, on Jan. 12. 
  
NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Kansas vs. Texas Tech
Kansas
+5½ -106
  at  PINNACLE
in 5h

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Kansas +5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Kansas as a 5.5-point road dog against the Red Raiders. I just feels like everyone is falling into the trap of this is the year the Jayhawks are going to fail to win the Big 12. I wouldn't bet against it happening again, especially with how this team is trending. Kansas has went to a very young lineup and it's working. They have won 3 straight and 4 of 5 overall, which includes a 79-63 thrashing of Texas Tech in Lawrence.

The defense has been really good for Kansas during this stretch. I know defense is the bread and butter for the Red Raiders, but like we saw in the last meeting between these two, good offense beats good defense. I also think Tech is also getting a little too much love for their 6-1 run over their last 7, as the schedule has really set up nicely. 

Jayhawks are 15-6 ATS last 21 on the road against elite teams that shoot 45% or better from the field and hold their opponent to 42% or worse. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 on the road vs really good defensive teams that are holding opponents to 39% shooting or worse. Give me Kansas +5.5! 

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
East Carolina vs. Tulane
East Carolina
+2 -110
  at  MIRAGE
in 5h
Free Play on East Carolina +2 -110
NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Wisconsin vs. Northwestern
Northwestern
+6 -110
  at  5DIMES
in 6h

Northwestern +6

The Wildcats are worth a flyer here on Saturday. This has the makings of a very low scoring one. Both teams love to work the clock and really force the opposition to shift a lot on the defensive end. 

With that in mind, we should see it benefit Northwestern more, as they give up just 60 points per game at home. Look for Northwestern to really make things difficult for the Badgers offense, which should result in a frustrating night for Wisconsin.

Back Northwestern.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
South Carolina vs. Mississippi State
South Carolina
+9½ -109
  at  GTBETS
in 3h

1* Free NCAAB Pick on South Carolina Gamecocks +9.5

Absolutely love the value here with South Carolina as a near double-digit road dog against the Bulldogs. You wouldn't guess by the spread that it's the Gamecocks who are 9-4 in SEC play, while Mississippi State comes in at just 7-6. 

No one wants to give this South Carolina team any respect the past two years. The Gamecocks are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games, which includes a 10-3 ATS mark this season. 

These two teams already played once this season and South Carolina won 87-82, despite only shooting 41% from the field (dominated the glass). I just don't think a change in venue is going to result in a 15-point swing in favor of Mississippi St. 

Last time out the Gamecocks rolled Ole Miss 79-64 as a 3-point home dog, while Mississippi State won 68-67 as a 6.5-point road favorite at Georgia thanks to a technical foul called on Georgia in the final seconds for a fan throwing an object on the court. 

Adding to all this is a great system in play favoring a Gamecocks cover. Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 who are off an upset conference win by 10 or more are 28-8 (78%) ATS since 1997 when facing an opponent who is off a road win where they failed to cover the spread. Take South Carolina! 

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NBA  |  Feb 23, 2019
Suns vs. Hawks
Hawks
-2½ -103
  at  PINNACLE
in 4h

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Atlanta Hawks -2.5 

It doesn’t even appear the Phoenix Suns are trying to win games at this point.  They are 0-16 SU in their last 16 games overall and just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games.  They came out of the break and promptly were blown out by 13 by a bad Cleveland Cavaliers team.  The Atlanta Hawks are at least trying to win, which is why I’ll lay the 2.5 points with them at home against the Suns tonight.  They only lost by 3 to the Pistons in their first game back from the break to show that they are trying.  The Suns are 2-15 ATS when the total is 230 or higher over the last two seasons.  Phoenix is 1-8 ATS in road games off six or more consecutive losses this season.  Give me the Hawks.

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NBA  |  Feb 23, 2019
Nets vs. Hornets
Nets
+3 -110
  at  SPBOOK
in 4h

Take the Brooklyn Nets plus the points versus the Charlotte Hornets. Brooklyn (30-30) looks to rebound from their 113-99 loss to Portland on Thursday as a 3-point underdog. The Nets have then covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after a double-digit loss at home. Brooklyn has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on the road. Charlotte (28-30) comes off a 123-110 win over Washington last night as a 5-point favorite. But the Hornets have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 7 games played without a day of rest. Charlotte has also played 9 of their last 13 games Under the Total after a point spread victory. Take Brooklyn plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Memphis vs. Wichita State
Wichita State
-3½ -110
  at  MIRAGE
in 5h

Dave’s Saturday Free Play: 

1* on Wichita State -3.5 

The Key: The Wichita State Shockers cannot be tamed right now.  They are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall with their only loss coming on the road to Cincinnati.  They just beat Tulsa by 21 on the road and four of their last five wins have come by double-digits.  Now they’re back home here facing a Memphis team that has been awful on the road.  The Tigers are just 2-6 SU & 2-6 ATS on the road this season with their only wins coming by 4 against Tulane and by 10 against ECU, the two worst teams in the AAC.  Wichita State is 7-0 ATS in home games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.  Memphis is 0-7 ATS in road games off a win by 20 points or more over the last 3 seasons.  The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in road games after a game where they covered the spread this season.  Take Wichita State.

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NHL  |  Feb 23, 2019
Hurricanes vs. Stars
Hurricanes
+110
  at  BOVADA
in 2h
Free Play on Hurricanes +110
NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Florida State vs. North Carolina
Florida State
+7½ -110
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

Free College Basketball Prediction From Doc’s Sports :

Take Florida State over North Carolina (3:45 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 23)

 I'm looking to do it again this weekend with another 7-Unit Play on Saturday. I'll also be tracking this ACC battle on Saturday and I think that the Seminoles can bang the Heels for a bit in this one. North Carolina has their monster showdown with Duke on Wednesday. They could be dealing with a hangover from that one when FSU comes to town. The Seminoles have been on fire. They have won seven straight and, frankly, other than an OT win over Louisville on Feb. 9 none of those wins have been even close. This team was really beat up early in conference play. Now that they are healthy they are nasty. They have size, experience and talent. And right now they are one of the most underrated teams in the ACC. I absolutely think that this team will make this one a game and that they will be able to hang with the Tar Heels and make this number stand up.

NHL  |  Feb 23, 2019
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs
UNDER
6 +110
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Seton Hall vs. St. John's
Seton Hall
+4 -108
  at  PINNACLE
in 5h

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Seton Hall at St. John's 8:00 ET

Red Storm (-) over Pirates- Home team is 16-5 ATS in the last 21 meetings between these two but Seton Hall 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games. St. John's could not handle prosperity as they were manhandled by Providence as expected on Wednesday. The Red Storm have 19 wins and would love to reach 20 tonight but are a disappointing 5-8 ATS at home. Seton Hall had won four straight before falling to Xavier 70-69 and have dropped three of their last four to the Storm. Take SETON HALL!

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Nebraska-Omaha vs. North Dakota State
North Dakota State
-2 -108
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

1* Free Sharp Play on North Dakota State -2 -108

My money is on the Bison to cash in an easy win and cover here as a slim 2-point home favorite over the Mavericks. North Dakota State has been an absolute covering machine of late. The Bison are 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games and have gone 10-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at home this season. Bet North Dakota St -2! 

NHL  |  Feb 23, 2019
Avalanche vs. Predators
OVER
6 +102
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

The set-up: It’s a big Central Division matchup on Saturday night and I’m expecting some offensive fireworks. Colorado posted a 5-3 road win over Chicago last night and I believe it’ll carry that momentum over here. Nashville is off a 2-1 home win over the Kings, but the Predators have been solid at home overall this season, going 20-12 there, averaging 2.97 goals and allowing 2.31 in those contests. Colorado’s so far 14-18 on the road, averaging 3.44 goals and allowing 3.38 in those games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Avs have seen the total go “over” the number in eight of 12 this year in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Nashville has seen the total go “over” in three of its last four home games when the total in the contest is set at six or higher. I’m banking on a wide open shootout. Play the “over.”

1* Free Play

NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Kansas vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech
-5½ -109
  at  GTBETS
in 5h

My 1* Free Play is on Texas Tech (8:00 EST).

This is a big game, as No. 12 Kansas is on the road to take on No. 14 Texas Tech. The Jayhawks are off a 78-53 home win over WVU, whole Texas Tech pulled away for an 86-61 home win over Baylor last weekend.

To say this is a “revenge” game though would be a bit of an understatement I think. Not only has Kansas taken the last two meetings (including the first one this year, 79-63 on February 2nd), but it’s 35-5 overall in the series. 

Both teams come in on top form, with Kansas having won three straight and Texas Tech on a four-game winning run. 

Kansas averages 76.9 PPG and it concedes 69.8. 

Texas Tech averages 71.5 PPG and it allows only 57.2 (ranked second in the country.) 

With a chance to avenge the earlier loss, I think the home side is definitely worth a second look in this one on Saturday night.

Good luck…Larry

NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Kansas vs. Texas Tech
Texas Tech
-5½ -109
  at  GTBETS
in 5h

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Texas Tech -5.5 

The Texas Tech Red Raiders want to be the team that dethrones the Kansas Jayhawks in the Big 12.  And the way they are playing of late and at home this season, they should be able to get a signature win and cover here against the vulnerable Jayhawks. 

Texas Tech is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall, winning by 31, 12, 28 and 25 points.  The Red Raiders are 14-1 at home this season and outscoring their opponents by 22.1 points per game.  They are holding foes to 53.3 points per game and 33.2% shooting at home, which are the best marks in the country. 

Conversely, the Jayhawks have been atrocious on the road this season.  They are just 2-6 SU & 2-6 ATS in true road games.  They are still missing several key players and that’s why teams are taking their turns beating the Jayhawks in the Big 12 this season.  Now it’s Texas Tech’s turn today. 

Texas Tech is 17-4 ATS in its last 21 home games when playing on five or six days’ rest.  Kansas is 0-6 ATS after covering four of its last five against the spread over the last three seasons.  The home team is 21-9 ATS in the last 30 meetings.  Bet Texas Tech Saturday.

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NBA  |  Feb 23, 2019
Mavs vs. Jazz
Mavs
+11 -103
  at  PINNACLE
in 7h

On Saturday night in the NBA, Play Against any team like UTAH, revenging a loss of 20 points or more, off two road covers where they lost straight up as an underdog. This rare system is 23-6 ATS the last 23 years! 

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NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
Vanderbilt vs. Alabama
Vanderbilt
+8½ -104
  at  BETONLINE
in 3h

COLLEGE HOOPS 100 DIME GAME

VANDERBILT +8.5

The Commodores are 0-13 in the SEC with five regular-season games left. The last time an SEC team didn’t win a single conference game? Georgia Tech in 1954 (2-22, 0-14).

Alabama is the last SEC team to win just one conference game, as the 1968-69 team finished 4-20 overall, 1-17 in the SEC.

Now the Tide will try to avoid becoming the team that allows Vanderbilt to avoid the history books. Alabama has lost three consecutive games, falling from 15-8 overall with a solid NCAA Tournament outlook to a team with many angry fans calling for a coaching change.

Vanderbilt is very competitive and they match well against Alabama. They average 71 ppg and hold opponents to just 72 ppg. Alabama is not a high octane team and they average 73 ppg. This line should be within 5 points.

NCAA-B  |  Feb 23, 2019
VMI vs. Western Carolina
VMI
+5½ -109
  at  GTBETS
in 5h
1* on VMI +5½ -109